Talking You Down
Please just stop. Back away slowly from the edge. It isn't worth it. Seriously.
I get as frustrated as the rest of you at this team, but you have to take a moment to exhale and look at the positives.
This team is one game back of the division lead with our number three and four hitters representing a black hole on offense. The team is currently afflicted with RISP Disease. It only seems to rear it's head in key situations, but that's what makes it so deadly. Our top three RBI guys bat 1, 2 and usually seventh in the order.
But ultimately, every single team in the AL West is flawed. Seriously flawed.
The Angels starting pitching is suspect and their offense outside of Guerrero hasn't been much better (think they are already longing for Glaus and Guillen, especially the way both have started with their new teams?). The Rangers have taxed their bullpen beyond belief because of their weak starting pitching. The Mariners also have a rotation with some holes in it.
If anything, look at how our young starting pitching is performing:
- Haren - 2.37 ERA, 1.16 WHIP
- Blanton - 2.04 ERA, 0.96 WHIP
- Harden - 0.68 ERA, 0.98 WHIP
Remember, Beane is watching this team closely and realizes it has holes. In a division filled with parity, it might take just one or two key players to help put a team over the top. Billy knows this.
So even though we have a leader that is battling mental demons right now and a left fielder who couldn't take the proper route to a ball if he was strapped to the back a golden retriever, just have a little patience.
Chavy will come around eventually. You just have to know someone is miserably off his game if he can't protect against a fastball right down the pipe, 3-2 with the bases loaded.
But part of me wonders, at least until he gets his swing back, is it time to put him fifth or sixth in the order and go with Kotsay in the three-hole? Just until he starts to get the confidence back.
I realize that probably isn't going to happen because players need to work through these things.
It's possible Durazo got a little bit of the feel back tonight with that bomb off of Guardado and he's been hitting better lately, starting in Texas. The problem is that you can whatever you want to with this lineup right now, but too many guys aren't hitting. I mean, judging from the way the players are hitting, you'd need to go with Ellis, Scutaro and Kotsay as your top three hitters and we know that isn't going to happen.
But my point is, keep your heads high, folks. Everyone hits a slump now and then and in my opinion, it's better Chavy hit it out of the gate than later in the season.
So relax, take a deep breath and repeat after me, "We're not even a tenth into the season. We're not even a tenth into the season."
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thanks Blez
Everybody let's remember it's April 20. And we need our sleep.
I'm glad you're all there to vent with.
by OaklandSi on Apr 20, 2005 10:42 PM PDT 0 recs
So true Blez....Well said.
by OaktownPower on Apr 20, 2005 10:43 PM PDT 0 recs
Maybe his 5 HRs...
by baseballgirl on
Apr 21, 2005 9:20 AM PDT
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My thoughts on the game
* First off, I am firmly in the camp of people who believe Chavy's last AB was unacceptable for the situation. The 3-2 pitch was not only a clear strike, but it was the only pitch one would expect in that situation--fastball away. Down 2, where a walk leaves it up to the next guy, you have to be swinging at any strike and anything borderline. I really believe Macha should give him tomorrow off to clear his head.
{Personal note to vacaville: I'm not a "homer"; I call 'em as I see 'em. What I never do is "trash" players; if you interpret that as being "always backing all the players," well...do what you want, I suppose.}
* What bothers me most are inconsistencies, and there were two tonight:
1. Byrnes was in LF for the ill-fated play, rather than a defensive replacement (e.g., Thomas), presumably to keep his bat in the lineup. Yet Byrnes was lifted for a pinch hitter in the 8th (ironically for Kielty to bat from his weaker side). Either Byrnes should have been out of the game by the bottom of the 7th or he should have hit in the 8th.
2. Rincon was up, but was not called in to face any of 3 lefties. Surely, he wasn't up for Ichiro, because by the time Ichiro came up, the M's would have to have at least a 2-run lead already. I'm guessing Macha was worried about a pinch-hitter for the pinch-hitter, and that Rincon would wind up facing a righty (only thing I can think of), but then don't bother to have him up.
IMO, poorly managed game (by a decent manager), "key players" (Zito, Chavy) not there when needed; not good enough to pitch well once the damage is done, or to stand, passively, for a decisive AB that needs a game-tying hit.
by Nico on Apr 20, 2005 10:43 PM PDT 0 recs
Agreed...
Knowing Byrnes propensity for bad jumps i'd say that was horrendous positioning at a critical time in the game.
You also hit the nail on the head with the word "passive". Slumps are a fact of life but you can't get a key hit without swinging the damn bat. He's supposed to be THAT guy..the one we WANT up there in that situation. Tonight (and just about every other night recently) i'd have rather had anyone else up there with the game in the balance. Ok..maybe not ANYONE..anyone else but Chavy or Bobby "feel that breeze" Kielty.
by FabulousG on
Apr 20, 2005 11:16 PM PDT
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If
by Larry E on
Apr 21, 2005 4:43 PM PDT
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Positives
by gotgreen on Apr 20, 2005 10:43 PM PDT 0 recs
You Are Right
I said at the beginning of the season it would be a roller coaster ride.
I do want to scold some of the more vocal Chavez bashers. Sure he is blowing rhino at the plate right now, but he has always been a streaky type of hitter.
I am sure he is as frustrated (if not more) than us fans. The guy worked his tail off to become a Gold Glover and (at least last season) has started to figure out how to hit lefties better.
Give the guy a break and wait to pronounce his sentence after a full month of games at least.
by RudiFan on Apr 20, 2005 10:44 PM PDT 0 recs
Every game reminds me
But having another error or misplay that costs his pitcher is not worth 10+ million dollars to me.
by suggy on Apr 20, 2005 10:45 PM PDT 0 recs
0-15
by suggy on
Apr 20, 2005 10:47 PM PDT
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Before the Byrnes muff,
by Checkswing HR on
Apr 20, 2005 10:55 PM PDT
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Watched the play back on Tivo...
by OaktownPower on
Apr 20, 2005 11:01 PM PDT
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BUT
-Billy Beane
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 20, 2005 11:06 PM PDT
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Easy?
by OaktownPower on
Apr 20, 2005 11:10 PM PDT
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He didn't have to catch it
We all love Byrnes for his enthusiam, but once in awhile, it bites him in the ass. It happened tonight.
-Billy Beane
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 20, 2005 11:14 PM PDT
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There were 2 outs....
by OaktownPower on
Apr 20, 2005 11:23 PM PDT
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Yes
-Billy Beane
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 20, 2005 11:29 PM PDT
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If a runner is running on contact...
Either way...tonight sucked. :-(
by OaktownPower on
Apr 20, 2005 11:31 PM PDT
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You guyz
by oakwin2004 on
Apr 21, 2005 8:49 AM PDT
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2 runs is better than 3
by Donner on
Apr 21, 2005 10:28 AM PDT
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No, 2 runs
by Nico on
Apr 21, 2005 11:15 AM PDT
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thanks
by AllThingsOakland on
Apr 21, 2005 11:23 AM PDT
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And yea..Chavy's was very tough...
by OaktownPower on
Apr 20, 2005 11:10 PM PDT
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That's the thing about Chavez
by jmoney on
Apr 21, 2005 10:10 AM PDT
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Not an easy play
by Larry E on
Apr 21, 2005 4:53 PM PDT
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I want to see Byrnsie
Thanks :-)
by green star oakland on Apr 20, 2005 10:45 PM PDT 0 recs
Golden retriever
by EgolikeRickey on
Apr 21, 2005 10:57 AM PDT
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my puppy
by batgirl on
Apr 21, 2005 12:07 PM PDT
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I'm not drinking the Kool-Aid tonight.
by jmoney on Apr 20, 2005 10:46 PM PDT 0 recs
Stop being such an apologist!
by farawaya on
Apr 21, 2005 6:37 AM PDT
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The sad fact is
by Jeff in Seattle on Apr 20, 2005 10:48 PM PDT 0 recs
This post says it all...
by boilerdan on
Apr 21, 2005 5:50 AM PDT
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Macha
by theblackpearl on Apr 20, 2005 10:49 PM PDT 0 recs
couple other analytical thoughts
- It's fantastic that he throws so many strikes, but he does need to make his 0-2 pitches less hitable. The one to Beltre was a "good pitch" but was also too hitable for the count.
- Street will (as Fosse perceptively noted) need to focus more on the inner half of the plate than the outer half vs. lefties. Like Bradford's greatest success to lefties has come running the frisbee slider in on the hands, Street needs to find the down and in spot. The outer half will not be his friend vs. lefties.
by Nico on Apr 20, 2005 10:51 PM PDT 0 recs
Can u guys even imagine how Beane reacts
by OaktownPower on Apr 20, 2005 10:51 PM PDT 0 recs
he probably has a whole room filled with chairs...
by Sharon on
Apr 20, 2005 10:53 PM PDT
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Byrnes has consistently made poor plays this year.
Was Street charged with one earned run, or three? If he was charged with three, then official scorers are officially certifiable.
The hits Street did give up were all weakly hit.
It's so ironic that, going into the season, I expected all the young arms to get pounded and the offense to be at about the same level as last year. I mean, it's a huge irony how things have worked out in the first three weeks. The performance of our pitching bodes real well for the future.
by Checkswing HR on Apr 20, 2005 10:52 PM PDT 0 recs
How wouldnt it be 3?
by OaktownPower on
Apr 20, 2005 11:00 PM PDT
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The error mau not be in the dive, but in
Look at it from the pitcher's perspective. Did Huston pitch as badly as a typical pitcher who gives up 3 runs in a single inning?
by Checkswing HR on
Apr 21, 2005 8:44 AM PDT
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ur right, man
chavvy is strugglin big time right now. everyone here at AN no that. he looks afraid at the plate, like he doesnt know whether to be patient or aggressive. thats why half the time, he strikes out and other times he swings at the first pitch and pops up to lefts field. he looks overmatched by fastballs that really arent that fast. he swings blindly at pitches tailing away and thinks hes taller than he really is when he swings at a pitch at his eyes. i think blez is right. until he regains his confidence he shold be moved down. his slump shouldnt be costing us ballgames.
as for zito, im not ready to write him off yet. yea he looked abysmal in the first inning today. he was nowhere near the zone and his changeup wasnt working in the beginning. but after that first inning, he did put up five straight 0's. i've been patient with him and im not gonna give up on him. hes only 27 years old and i still believe he can prove to us that 2004 was the abberration, not the 01-03. hes too young and talnted to just flame out. even if he continues to dissapoint every time he starts, im still just gonna suck it up and say " yea, he wasnt all that today. but, he'll get'em next time i know he will" because hes done so much for us over the years that it wouldnt be fair to trash talk him after every rough start. until beane thinks its time to trade him, i'll always look forward to barry zitos starts because i have a confidence he'll do well, no matter how many times he dissapoints us.
man that was long....my longest post ever. sorry if it bored anyone but i just wanted to say what i had on my mind
by OakT0wnB0rNnRaZed on Apr 20, 2005 10:56 PM PDT 0 recs
Question
by Larry E on
Apr 21, 2005 4:59 PM PDT
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It's a rebuilding year
by kvn on Apr 20, 2005 10:58 PM PDT 0 recs
can't agree there
We'll contend if/when we get better over time and no one runs away with it, both of which could totally happen, we'll see.
by Nico on
Apr 20, 2005 11:04 PM PDT
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Isn't it ironic? Dontcha think?
by FabulousG on
Apr 20, 2005 11:27 PM PDT
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yet our record doesn't reflect this - yet!
by kvn on
Apr 21, 2005 2:28 PM PDT
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Blez, I totally agree...
-Billy Beane
by kaweahkaweah on Apr 20, 2005 11:05 PM PDT 0 recs
Zito gave up 4 runs in his first start,
Then Zito was lights out last Friday. So it's back to the drawing board!
Wait! He gave up 2 runs last Friday and 4 runs tonight, so that means 8 runs next Monday, 16 runs the Saturday after that ...
... looks like I need to pack it in for the night ...
by Checkswing HR on Apr 20, 2005 11:07 PM PDT 0 recs
So you're saying
by Nico on
Apr 20, 2005 11:10 PM PDT
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CHAVY DESERVES NO SYMPATHY
When one signs the biggest contract in a small market team's history, he should be willing to take the pressure.
WE, as fans have A RIGHT to demand more of Chavez and bitch about it until he comes through. Let's cut the postivie vibe crap about Chavy, PLEASE?
I agree that there are MANY positives about this season (e.g., young pitchers, the bottom and top of our order, the bullpen) and I am excited about this team, but I am PISSED and EMBARRASED about Chavez' play.
The fact is that this is not new for Chavy. Macha needs to drop him in the order until he figures something out.
Can you believe that Chavy was bitching about hitting behind Durazo this spring????
Sack up Chavy. We have had enough. Stop wasting the payroll.
P.S. Macha -- why no LOOGY (Rincon) for the lefties that Hargrove trotted out there???
by Josh on Apr 20, 2005 11:21 PM PDT 0 recs
Hes terrible right now....no doubt
by OaktownPower on
Apr 20, 2005 11:25 PM PDT
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Yeah, but that' s missing the point
by Tony on
Apr 20, 2005 11:31 PM PDT
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Exactly.
by Josh on
Apr 20, 2005 11:37 PM PDT
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Exactly
by boilerdan on
Apr 21, 2005 5:56 AM PDT
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Chavy is a head case...
Sure, our tunes will change somewhat when he hits .375 with 10 dongs in July, but even most of that production will happen with the A's up or down by 4 runs or more.
FWIW, I thought signing Chavy and letting Miggy go was the right thing to do.
On another note, Ruby's first torrid stretch of hitting will almost certainly precipitate a quick trade and DJ promotion. Unfortunately, the teams in most dire need of a slugging DH are all in the West.
by Oakland East on
Apr 21, 2005 7:50 AM PDT
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Crosby
by Larry E on
Apr 21, 2005 5:04 PM PDT
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Put it another way:
by Nico on
Apr 21, 2005 8:11 AM PDT
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Lame excuse but...
by keNbO on
Apr 21, 2005 12:29 PM PDT
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couple nights ago i mentioned
by redclay22 on Apr 20, 2005 11:34 PM PDT 0 recs
Kotsay in the 3-hole
by Nico on
Apr 21, 2005 8:13 AM PDT
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I missed the game
The funny thing about baseball is when your team loses, it feels like they'll never win a game, and when they win, it feels like they can't lose. In reality, we're going to lose at least 60 more games, and probably 70-80 more.
I'm taking the long view on this. I want Street to mature and find his feet, I want Haren to get Hudson-like, I want BoCro to come back and be solid. I want Calero to be healthy and come back nasty. I want Cruz to find his head and be average.
I want Zito to pitch somewhat above league-average, so he can be traded for something good.
And just maybe, if we're hanging around in contention in August, we can make a good run at this thing.
Oh yeah, i want Barton to start pummeling the ball in the minors and become and excellent 1B. And a pony. And to have Beane, Forst, and Huston Street to bring us all Garlic Fries on AN Day 2.0 either on the terrace or in the lot.
Having said, that, Chavy has looked terrible. He needs a day off and maybe to go into the 5 spot.
by Apricot on Apr 20, 2005 11:45 PM PDT 0 recs
street didn't blow it
by xbhaskarx on
Apr 21, 2005 2:01 PM PDT
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Is it just me?
by mrlebowski79 on Apr 21, 2005 12:23 AM PDT 0 recs
it's you
then again, I've met Duke so I've seen him up close. From very far away perhaps they do look more alike.
by OaklandSi on
Apr 21, 2005 4:59 AM PDT
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My spouse would not agree
Duke doesn't get that reaction.
by boilerdan on
Apr 21, 2005 5:59 AM PDT
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The Grass is Always Greener on the Other Side
Chavez is an offensive monster who will find his stroke. His April #'s are always terrible, and I still like the combination we have at 3rd with Crosby/Chavez over Tejeda/Teahen (by far)
by idriveabucket on Apr 21, 2005 3:50 AM PDT 0 recs
Unbelievable
IT'S TWO MOTHER F***G WEEKS INTO THE SEASON!!!!
by ohad on Apr 21, 2005 3:58 AM PDT 0 recs
Here here!!!
*sigh*
by gigglingone on
Apr 21, 2005 8:22 AM PDT
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I've been caught up in riots in the streets
Also:
(i) when you want to suggest that people might calm down, it helps to model it yourself.
(ii) the only words in the English language that fit "F***G" are fling, flong and flung; so that's "TWO MOTHER FLUNG WEEKS" then ?
by green star oakland on
Apr 21, 2005 3:51 PM PDT
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Yeah, lol
I guessi should say this, but i wasn't actually screaming. I wasn't like raving mad. It's hard to explaing, you know someone is like kinda "frustrated" and they say for crying out loud, thats what i was doing.
by ohad on
Apr 21, 2005 4:03 PM PDT
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a "flong" is...
look it up in webster's...geesh!
by bigelephant on
Apr 21, 2005 5:56 PM PDT
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Oh, of course.
by Nico on
Apr 21, 2005 6:11 PM PDT
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A flong
by green star oakland on
Apr 21, 2005 6:36 PM PDT
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Can we clone Kotsay?
by Jennifer on Apr 21, 2005 6:33 AM PDT 0 recs
I've been saying this for awhile
by jmoney on
Apr 21, 2005 10:07 AM PDT
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