Joe Morgan makes ass of self (again)
I know that theblackpearl posted some of these, but I thought a complete transcript of Joe's comments regarding Oakland from his ESPN.com chat would get the juices flowing.
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Yousef (Jerusalem)
If the A's drop way out of the race early, will Billy Beane start dumping salaries? And if he does, who'll be shipped out?
JOE MORGAN
They've already dumped salaries -- Mulder and Hudson and Dye are gone! They've already done that.
Rene (Glendale,CA)
Hey Joe, I'm a big A's fan..and it looks like as years pass by the window gets smaller and smaller for our chances in winning it all...I wanna know is this management's fault the payroll is so low?? that they don't address bullpen, certain hitters, consistant starters,etc...or is this our fault??(being not enough fans at the game)..thanks for your opinion
JOE MORGAN
I guess it's all of the above, Rene. I think that they had the makings of a great team when they had Zito, Mulder, Hudson, Tejada and Giambi. But when you let two MVPs go and two of the best pitchers in the league go, you're not really thinking about winning anymore.
Roy (Toledo, Ohio)
I don't think you can say that they're not really thinking about winning anymore.
JOE MORGAN
Read my answer and figure it out. How can you let two MVPs and two gret pitchers go and expect anything else.
JOE MORGAN
That moneyball theory is overrated. No one has ever won with it.
JOE MORGAN
PLAYERS win games. Not theories.
Garrett (NYC)
So is the Bay Area unable to support two baseball teams?
JOE MORGAN
No. I disagree, I think they CAN support two teams, we've had two teams here for more than 30 years. I'd say it has supported two teams just fine.
JOE MORGAN
BUT, I do believe the A's need a stadium to be able to compete with the Giants and others.
Adam (Los Angeles)
That moneyball theory is overrated. No one has ever won with it.So the Red Sox didn't win the World Series last year? Could have sworn I'd heard differently.
JOE MORGAN
The Red Sox had the second highest payroll in baseball next to the Yankees!!! The most important play last year was Dave Roberts stealing second base in game four ... that is NOT the moneyball theory. Without the stolen bae or just the THREAT of the stolen base Dave Roberts provided, the Red Sox would have been eliminated.
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Ignorance? Bad. Belligerence? Bad. But when someone is belligerently ignorant like Joe Morgan, well, it's sad. He was the ultimate Moneyball player as I and others have pointed out before. How his analysis is so bad is beyond me.
Rene from Glendale didn't pay enough attention to realize that Beane did address the bullpen, and in fact, the Hudson/Mulder trades were a way to get more consistent pitching (albeit not starters).
But Mr. Morgan, lord bless his heart, thinks:
...that Hudson/Mulder/Dye was a salary dump.
...that adapting to a low-market environment means you're not thinking about winning.
...that Moneyball is a "theory," even though it is a business plan that adapts to the baseball landscape. When did Moneyball ever predict that a team should be pitching and defense? But that's precisely what happened to our team in the past few years.
...that they "territorial rights" setup in the Bay area isn't important, or else he doesn't know they exist.
...that Moneyball tells you never to steal bases, EVER. In fact, the idea is to minimize risk by stealing only in situations that call for it. And when you're facing elimination, with a righty on the mound, with a noodle armed catcher, with a bad defensive infield, and a high percentage basesetealer...well, that's minimizing risk!
Best,
Sal
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Comments
Well...
Does Joe Morgan still think Billy Beane wrote "Moneyball?"
by Dog Days on Apr 15, 2005 9:38 AM PDT 0 recs
Joe Morgan
by JaysFan16 on
Apr 15, 2005 6:28 PM PDT
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Sal..
by Dog Days on Apr 15, 2005 9:39 AM PDT 0 recs
Actually
by ohad on Apr 15, 2005 9:41 AM PDT 0 recs
I wonder
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 15, 2005 9:45 AM PDT
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Yes He's An Ass, But(t).....
Joe's a jerk, I know, but let's also be relaistic. "Moneyball" has made for great seasons and then an early exit in the post-season. I don't like saying it but them's the facts.
Once you get off the "he hates the A's train' he didn't really say anything we don't know and haven't seen.
-BIO-
by BornInOakland on Apr 15, 2005 9:48 AM PDT 0 recs
Hmm ...
Well no sh .... iznit. He's right that money is important. The Red Sox would not have won last year with a $60 million dollar payroll. They did beat two teams with $120 million + payrolls to get to the series, though.
Moneyball has nothing to do with any of that - Moneyball is simply making the best out of a sub-optimal situation. He's right to point to our unmarketable stadium and low payroll as reasons we have not been as succesful as we might - but that has nothing at all to do with the success or failure of Moneyball.
by devo on
Apr 15, 2005 10:32 AM PDT
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Thanks-I think
BIO
by BornInOakland on
Apr 15, 2005 11:29 AM PDT
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Morgan does make good points.
yup--Hudson and Mulder salary dumps, along with the two MVPs. Can you argue with that?
you can argue with his conclusion that the front office is not commited to winning though.
by suggy on
Apr 15, 2005 10:47 AM PDT
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Its like
kaweahkaweah said it well on the other JM diary. Joe knows how to play second. He knows how to go with a pitch. He knows how to read a pitcher. And, its great that he explains all this on TV.
Joe gets into trouble when he goes outside the lines (so to speak). It would be great if he could manage the A's. Interesting would be a mild way to put it.
As for the comments listed. Joe doesnt even answer Yousef's question (What does BB do if the A's are out early?). He assumes the A's have a low payroll. I guess its all relative. But, the payroll isnt at the bottom of the league. Joe seems to be right about the bay area supporting teams. We do need a new park. But, how about an open market in the south bay? Finally, I love that Adam calls out Joe on the Red Sox. And Joe responds by saying high salary teams can not play moneyball. Earth to Joe, Moneyball is not mutually exclusive to poor teams.
by Parklife on Apr 15, 2005 9:51 AM PDT 0 recs
A's and Dodgers in the series
by billyburg on Apr 15, 2005 9:53 AM PDT 0 recs
Joe Morgan lives in a Bubble
He is completely unable to integrate any new thoughts or ideas about the game. His myopic viewpoints are so simpleminded and lack any substance.
In any other industry besides sports, this guy would be an absolute joke. He's almost as bad, if not worse than, Joe Theisman in football, or Bill Walton in basketball.
The real question is, are former players really qualified to become analysts and sportscasters. Last time I checked, most analysts and sportscasters who aren't former players need some kind of college degree or training. Howard Cossel is rolling over in his grave.
by Wander on Apr 15, 2005 10:20 AM PDT 0 recs
If
That doesn't mean they have to be good.
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 15, 2005 10:22 AM PDT
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Players as broadcasters
by billyburg on Apr 15, 2005 10:25 AM PDT 0 recs
Speaking of Old Drunk Guys
by Parklife on
Apr 15, 2005 10:29 AM PDT
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In truth, I'm a pretty big Joe Morgan fan
by ArakSOT on Apr 15, 2005 10:33 AM PDT 0 recs
more than blinders
by devo on
Apr 15, 2005 10:35 AM PDT
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I tried to
by billyburg on Apr 15, 2005 10:34 AM PDT 0 recs
I Hate ESPN Baseball analysts
Without Gammons I get better baseball talk from Giants' fans.
by paul75 on Apr 15, 2005 10:36 AM PDT 0 recs
There She Blows........
I am surprise he found enough time to chat on ESPN. Afterall his nose is so far up Bonds backside I can't believe he can even breathe.
As far as I am concerned Morgan is damn lucky to be in the HOF. If he had not played for those Reds teams he would never have made it. He was a good player, but I would take some like Ryne Sandberg in a heartbeat over this toad.
by RudiFan on Apr 15, 2005 10:47 AM PDT 0 recs
See Billyburg below
A career OPS+ of 132 (including 5 consecutive years of 149 or higher -- Sandberg, himself a great player, never had one season above 145) and 5 consecutive gold gloves at a key defensive position? Tony Perez is lucky to be in the Hall of Fame. If they don't let a player as spectacular as Joe Morgan in, they should just shut it down.
His strident, ill-informed and irrational rants against the A's are a different matter, though.
by Nick on
Apr 15, 2005 11:39 AM PDT
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awesome
Does anyone else get a mental picture of an angry Joe Morgan, steam coming out of his ears, foaming at the mouth, his head just about to explode? Good stuff.
by Sharon on Apr 15, 2005 11:03 AM PDT 0 recs
I think people...
by Jennifer on
Apr 15, 2005 11:15 AM PDT
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That's great
by ArakSOT on
Apr 15, 2005 11:18 AM PDT
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Or...
by Jennifer on
Apr 15, 2005 11:20 AM PDT
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PS-
by Jennifer on
Apr 15, 2005 11:22 AM PDT
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Those of us who have Insider
That'll get him going. :-)
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 15, 2005 12:07 PM PDT
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Joe IS a HOF'er
by billyburg on Apr 15, 2005 11:07 AM PDT 0 recs
I agree
Joe Morgan is the probably the best 2B ever, and Bill James makes a good argument for this in his Abstract. He was in many respects the ultimate moneyball player with solid defense, good SB%, some pop, and lots and lots of strike zone discipline.
And he is a decent enough analyst when he talks about positioning, pitch selection, etc. God forbid he ever run a team, though.
by salb918 on
Apr 15, 2005 11:12 AM PDT
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Morgan the Best?
As I stated earlier, Ryne Sandberg was a better 2nd baseman. You can throw Roberto Alomar in there as well. If Morgan would have played for some of those crappy Cubs teams I seriously doubt he would be in the HOF.
by RudiFan on
Apr 15, 2005 11:26 AM PDT
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Based on what?
IMHO, the only way to discount Morgan as a player is to buy into his "I don't care about numbers" b.s. as an analyst.
P.S. Craig Biggio deserves mention along with Sandberg and Alomar for recent 2B's, too.
by Nick on
Apr 15, 2005 11:45 AM PDT
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I Agree
Morgan also played quite a few games on the Astro Turf as oppossed to Sandberg (and others). This diminished the chances for some goofy hops. He also played alongside a great SS in Concepcion.
I will admit that my personal dislike for Joe Morgan is strong. From my perspective he just seems like a guy with a pretty big chip on his shoulder for all of his accomplishments.
by RudiFan on
Apr 15, 2005 11:59 AM PDT
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The stats
As far as teammates go, well, if they were just a hair apart I might consider that. But really there's no comparison. It's like Buddy Bell vs. George Brett or something (though Sandberg was better than Bell). Sandberg was a great player -- Morgan is probably the greatest 2B who's ever played.
by Nick on
Apr 15, 2005 12:14 PM PDT
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Wrigley Field
I am well aware of Baseball Reference's website. I still feel that Sandberg never had the type of hitters surrounding him that Morgan did in Cincy. Morgans HOF creditials were basically made while he was a Red.
Tell you what. We will start a team and I will take Sandberg and you can have Blow Joe.
by RudiFan on
Apr 15, 2005 12:34 PM PDT
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On a given day...
As far as Morgan's teammates are concerned, I think that affects RBI and Runs Scored. I don't see how flip-flopping Bench for Davis or Rose for Cey affects the rest of Morgan's game enough to get him and Sandberg even.
You can like whomever you want to like, but Morgan objectively outperformed Sandberg in pretty much every phase of the game for his whole career. That's why the numbers look the way they do.
by Nick on
Apr 15, 2005 12:58 PM PDT
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It's hard to argue
2B, Career OPS +
Hornsby, 175
Lajoie, 150
Collins, 141
Morgan, 132
Robinson, 132
Carew, 131
~~snip~~
Alomar, 116
Sandberg, 114
by devo on
Apr 15, 2005 12:37 PM PDT
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To points on Raja
- Hornsby was at best an average to mediocre 2B.
- He was also an A-1 prick who was universally hated by pretty much everyone he played with, and had pretty much the opposite effect on his teams from Morgan (only 2 pennant winners in his whole career).
by Nick on
Apr 15, 2005 12:52 PM PDT
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Perhaps ...
- Well the numbers don't lie ... but that doesn't say much, since they don't really say anything at all. His fielding percentage was pretty much average ... but then, so was Joe Morgan's - but - except at the extremes - fielding percentage doesn't tell us much about defensive value, anyway. All we really have to go by then is anecdote - and, since much of what survives the test of time is the writing of the New York and national media, if you were looking back 50 years from now, you might just think that Derek Jeter was a good defender (he's improved tremendously, he's average now - he used to be arguabley the worst defensive SS in the league). I'm not saying you're wrong, I'm just saying you can't be sure enough of this to consider it a very strong argument against him.
- It's not like he was playing on borderline Championship teams and he was causing them to not perform to peak level. Only 6 of the 12 StL teams he played on even reached .500. He did lead his team to a championship as well, that's something a hell of a lot of great players can't say.
by devo on
Apr 15, 2005 1:18 PM PDT
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Check out Today's Rob Neyer column on 2b
According to Bill James, Robinson is also one of the 5 greatest defensive 2b since WWII. Neither Morgan nor Sandberg are in the top 5.
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 15, 2005 1:23 PM PDT
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You guys are all too hard on Morgan
The fact that he likes to talk endlessly about a book that he obviously either hasn't read or doesn't understand may mean that he isn't the sharpest tack in the box, but it doesn't make him a bad person or morally inferior. If you don't like his analysis, just don't read it.
Talking about baseball with Morgan is like talking religion with a fundamentalist - the discussion isn't going to go anywhere. There are things that some people regard as an article of faith that you just aren't going to get them to look at objectively. A fundamentalist is never going to want to talk about the first Nicean council, and Joe Morgan is never going to want to talk about statistical analysis.
by MrIncognito on Apr 15, 2005 11:11 AM PDT 0 recs
But you're wrong -
by devo on
Apr 15, 2005 11:16 AM PDT
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my post
*The fact that he likes to talk endlessly about a book that he obviously either hasn't read or doesn't understand *
by MrIncognito on
Apr 15, 2005 11:28 AM PDT
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Yeah, I was really just responding
by devo on
Apr 15, 2005 11:37 AM PDT
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Also
Saying stuff like that makes me think he hasn't read it.
by kaweahkaweah on
Apr 15, 2005 12:10 PM PDT
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Thankfully
by OaktownTribesman on Apr 15, 2005 11:17 AM PDT 0 recs
Nice setup!
by JaysFan16 on
Apr 15, 2005 6:23 PM PDT
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hes just one of the doubters...
i think that ppl judge billy's moves too quickly.they just look at what we lost,and ignore what we gained.thats what morgan does.he doesnt see the big picture that billy sees,the picture we here at AN see.just give it anotheryear or two, when crosby is a top SS, haren and harden are cy young contenders,chavez is in the upper echelon of players and rackin up the gold gloves, and giambi is still rotting away.then everyone will say billy is a genius. just give it some time morgan,and u'll see how wrong u r
by OakT0wnB0rNnRaZed on Apr 15, 2005 11:25 AM PDT 0 recs
Rudifan
Ironically, Morgan is a typical Moneyball player: unspectacular average, hits an ok amount of home runs, but does extremely well with the statistics no one looks at, i.e. walks, double plays, etc. As A's fans we should be able to recognize how great .270 hitters can sometimes be.
by Nick86 on Apr 15, 2005 11:48 AM PDT 0 recs
To Each His Own
by RudiFan on
Apr 15, 2005 12:00 PM PDT
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One last point, then I'll shut up
Anyway, cheers to all. It's fun to have a place to chat about all things Athletics related, especially during my exile in New York.
by billyburg on Apr 15, 2005 12:11 PM PDT 0 recs
I agree with Nick
Also, about Morgan's teammates, part of the reason why Morgan was so great was because of his patience. He drew tons of walks, even though he had Tony Perez and Johnny Bench hitting behind him. Isn't the fact that he walked so much, given the strength of the hitters behind him, a testament to what a great hitter he was?
by Nick86 on Apr 15, 2005 2:16 PM PDT 0 recs
The saddest part of all this...
by tonyarmas50 on Apr 15, 2005 3:50 PM PDT 0 recs
What a piece of SH*T
by everythinguknowiswrong on Apr 15, 2005 7:00 PM PDT 0 recs
Lil Joe' quotes;
I think that they had the makings of a great team when they had Zito, Mulder, Hudson, Tejada and Giambi. True
But when you let two MVPs go and two of the best pitchers in the league go, you're not really thinking about winning anymore. True, when combined with his sentence above. Some owners aren't satisfied with 3 and out. If you want to get further than winning divisions you need to hold onto more prime years of run producers especially. It is unbelieveable how many of you come to Kielty's rescue with all kinds of market value BS but are blind to the fact that Tejada's bat AND DISCIPLINE LAST YEAR puts the A's into the playoffs and just maybe, stops the Foulkes, Hudsons, Damons, etc from wanting to leave so fast.
The A's underlaying message if you are a player is have fun, enjoy, become a star, leave and get rewarded.
If you turnover your player roster every 2-3 years you are not serious about winning the rings.
Lil Joe knows it and now you do to.
- Win the Division
- Win the Playoffs
- Win the Series
2002 = 1 of 3
2003 = 1 of 3
2004 = 0 of 3
2005 = ?????
... Lil Joe nailed you and you don't like his "direct hits"
PLAYERS win games. Not theories. True, books don't hit grand slams, steal home, pitch shut-outs, or collect 150 RBIs. Books, theories, eyes, are all tools, ...so is common sense to those blessed with it.
we've had two teams here for more than 30 years. I'd say it has supported two teams just fine. True
BUT, I do believe the A's need a stadium to be able to compete with the Giants and others. I don't know the context here, if it was increasing revenue I'd argue against a new stadium on that point, loan servicing can be expected to take monies away from payroll and quality players.
The Red Sox had the second highest payroll in baseball next to the Yankees!!! The most important play last year was Dave Roberts stealing second base in game four ... that is NOT the moneyball theory. Without the stolen bae or just the THREAT of the stolen base Dave Roberts provided, the Red Sox would have been eliminated. True in that the BloSux are not run as Bill James would do it. Blo Sux are a hybrid; Fr-Yank-n-A's
- Lil Joe would be at 2B on most all time line-ups, his love of PLAYING the game supercedes analizing it.
- As a former player JM adds insights which many ANers would not appreciate because they emphasis the human element over math.
- Announcers are typically "personalities", Lil Joe has personality.
My advice; Keep it up Joe, it's working.
by A s Eh on Apr 15, 2005 8:34 PM PDT 0 recs
Where do I begin?
Second, this "player v. theory" dichotomy is just ridiculous. It's almost literally meaningless. Unless Morgan objects to the whole idea of having some kind of plan for building a team, every team has a theory.
Third, arguing that Robert's steal proves that the A's approach is wrong is at best a strawman argument and at worst just dumb. The A's would love to have fast players. But they can't afford to pay a few million dollars to a backup CF who never plays on the off chance that he'll be a pinch runner in a key situation. Theo Epstein has a budget that justifies that expense. But Beane's budget would make him dump another player to get Roberts on the roster.
You can argue, as JRBH does, that we shouldn't let the owners get off with the budget excuse, but Beane doesn't set the budget, he just manages it. The idea is to try to figure out what's essential and what's a relative luxury, and acquire the essentials at the cheapest possible rate. How did JM "nail" that?
by Nick on
Apr 15, 2005 9:55 PM PDT
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Where you began is fine
First, I think it's kind of hard to say that Beane's approach to building a team and drafting and developing players is wrong,
You don't know my posts or you would know that I ALWAYS give BB his due as building the best ORGANIZATION in MLB.
and then blame him for not keeping all the players he drafted and signed and developed.
It would be impossible to keep ALL the players
I mean, if Giambi and Tejada and Hudson and Foulke and Mulder and Hernandez are such great players, doesn't Beane deserve credit for acquiring and developing them?
Gave credit for that above
Second, this "player v. theory" dichotomy is just ridiculous. It's almost literally meaningless. Unless Morgan objects to the whole idea of having some kind of plan for building a team, every team has a theory.
You are quoting things that JM didn't say and my comments were to those suffering the dilusion that Moneyball is some kind of ends all magic that makes a suscriber team superior to all others. Every business caters to it's existing market or falls to the wayside (insolvency). it is a shame MLB did not realize it until Mr Lewis' book.
Third, arguing that Robert's steal proves that the A's approach is wrong is at best a strawman argument and at worst just dumb.
One incident doesn't make a season
The A's would love to have fast players.
we do have many fast players
But they can't afford to pay a few million dollars to a backup CF who never plays on the off chance that he'll be a pinch runner in a key situation.
Remember Esteban German? You do not know what the A's can or can not spend any more than I. You buy into the poverty image but that does not mean it is accurate or inaccurate. MLB gave the A's $49 million to start this season, payroll is supposedly 56 - 57 million so far. The A's resources and assets appear very healthy. Don't be so quick to assume they can't muster what is needed to compete. I remember $90 million on the table for Giambi when they were "broke".
Theo Epstein has a budget that justifies that expense. But Beane's budget would make him dump another player to get Roberts on the roster.
JM was pointing out the A's are terrible at creating runs. Base running and stealing are not in the A's game book and their anemic runs scoring against better teams, IMHO, makes them playoffs pretenders.
You can argue, as JRBH does, that we shouldn't let the owners get off with the budget excuse, but Beane doesn't set the budget, he just manages it. The idea is to try to figure out what's essential and what's a relative luxury, and acquire the essentials at the cheapest possible rate. How did JM "nail" that?
Rights of ownership; I won't mess with that, Beane builds the organization better than anyone, he is also the 1st to admit that his sh*t don't work in the playoffs. JM nailed that, The A's accepted goal and target is winning the division instead of winning it all. Everything feeds off of that. Instead of developing and maintaining personnel to win it all the A's business model and prototype is "Division winner". Nothing more, nothing less.
IMHO-Forget everything you know for just a moment. Throw out RISP, win shares, all of it. I'm building a team from scratch. I'm loading up on left handed hitters because most pitchers are righties and my team will do well over all and have a winning record at the end of the season, if all other things are basicly equal.
I'm going another step though! I'm scouting out the best affordable pitching and putting them in a big oversized home park with lots of big beautiful foul areas. These pitchers will look like Cy Young is back and pitching for the A's.
Next I'll build up the middle defense as good as any MLB teams. My pitchers are going to love it here! The park is so big I'll even eliminate the expensive home run hitter at cleanup and stay under budget. I'll load up with 400 OB% type players that get lots of walks. Hell! Some of the jerks pitching out there will even walk in winning runs now and then.
This system works.
It is what the A's do.
The competition has caught on over the years so we can't buy a run off of good pitching, the kind of pitching that playoffs teams have.
3 and out.
So what do the A's do now?
Rivals know if you don't walk the A's we will score 1 or 2 runs and usually lose.
Will BB
- ... go into denial?
- ... focus on improving run production Vs better pitching?
- ... as a partial owner with profit sharing does he opt for cutting expenses (veteran players) over increasing income?
- ... Copy Seligg's profitable team model with the bottom of the barrell Brewer's AAAA team and smile all the way to the bank the next 10 years?
Besides, ...you can always go re-read Gammons again anyway.
by A s Eh on
Apr 16, 2005 1:10 AM PDT
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